ORCLAMZNGOOGLMSFTNOWAVGOTSMDELLNVDAMETACRM#182
Thesis
Forward earnings multiples for mega-caps look reasonable (12-26x 2027), argues against bubble narrative
Original post text
2027 earnings multiples for largest companies showing reasonable valuations.
🐂 Bull Case
- Revenue growth 21% YoY — strong top-line expansion driving the thesis
- Healthy gross margin 66% — pricing power / scalable model
🐻 Bear Case
- Weinstein stage 4 (declining) — trend weakening; risk of further downside
- Price 184.13 below SMA50 (184.95) — overhead resistance, momentum lagging
- Price below SMA200 (204.90) — long-term downtrend, structural weakness
🚫 Invalidation
Close below $198.76 (SMA200) on above-average weekly volume
Break Conditions
- Close decisively below SMA200 (~204.90) on above-average volume
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t0 | ORCL | $213.68 | 2026-06-08 09:01:28 |
| t+3d | ORCL | $184.13 | 2026-06-14 18:37:54 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $184.13
Created: 2026-06-08 08:58:34
Scored: 2026-06-13T18:35:50.167058+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-14T18:37:54.762200+00:00