ASMLTSLASPCX#188
Thesis
ASML-Musk collaboration on $55B Terafab for 2nm chips signals massive EUV demand for AI/robotics/space
Original post text
$ASML bringing Elon Musk for closed-door conference on $55B Terafab project.
🐂 Bull Case
- ASML in Weinstein stage 2 (advancing) — uptrend confirmed by price vs moving averages
- Price 1863.55 trading above SMA50 (1536.09) — short-term momentum supportive
- Price above SMA200 (1241.87) — long-term uptrend intact
🐻 Bear Case
- Elevated P/E of 62 — high expectations priced in, vulnerable to disappointment
- Risk: adverse sector rotation or broader market drawdown weighs on ASML regardless of fundamentals
🚫 Invalidation
Close below $1204.62 (SMA200) on above-average weekly volume
Break Conditions
- Close decisively below SMA200 (~1241.87) on above-average volume
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t0 | ASML | $1641.74 | 2026-06-08 09:01:28 |
| t+3d | ASML | $1863.55 | 2026-06-14 18:37:54 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $1863.55
Created: 2026-06-08 08:58:34
Scored: 2026-06-13T18:35:59.800261+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-14T18:37:54.767072+00:00