AMD#189
Thesis
Only credible challenger gaining share across both CPU and GPU layers; 2026-2028 profit trajectory of $13.8B→$24.7B→$35.4B
Original post text
$AMD on pace to generate over $75B profit over next three years.
🐂 Bull Case
- AMD in Weinstein stage 2 (advancing) — uptrend confirmed by price vs moving averages
- Price 511.57 trading above SMA50 (386.78) — short-term momentum supportive
- Price above SMA200 (253.93) — long-term uptrend intact
🐻 Bear Case
- Elevated P/E of 169 — high expectations priced in, vulnerable to disappointment
- Risk: adverse sector rotation or broader market drawdown weighs on AMD regardless of fundamentals
🚫 Invalidation
Close below $246.31 (SMA200) on above-average weekly volume
Break Conditions
- Close decisively below SMA200 (~253.93) on above-average volume
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t0 | AMD | $466.38 | 2026-06-08 09:01:28 |
| t+3d | AMD | $511.57 | 2026-06-14 18:37:54 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $511.57
Created: 2026-06-08 08:58:34
Scored: 2026-06-13T18:36:00.227451+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-14T18:37:54.768068+00:00