SPCX#198
Thesis
Historical valuation trajectory from $27M to $1.8T showing compounding power of Starlink revenue
Original post text
THE $SPCX VALUATION JOURNEY: $27M (2002) to $1.8T (2026 IPO).
🐂 Bull Case
- Revenue growth 15% YoY — strong top-line expansion driving the thesis
- Catalyst: continued thematic flows and positive newsflow into SPCX could extend the move
🐻 Bear Case
- Risk: adverse sector rotation or broader market drawdown weighs on SPCX regardless of fundamentals
🚫 Invalidation
Loss of key thesis driver (revenue/contract) or >15% adverse move
Break Conditions
- Fundamental catalyst fails to materialize within 1-2 quarters
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t0 | SPCX | $135.00 | 2026-06-08 09:01:28 |
| t+3d | SPCX | $160.95 | 2026-06-14 18:37:54 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $160.95
Created: 2026-06-08 08:58:34
Scored: 2026-06-13T18:36:20.791846+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-14T18:37:54.777030+00:00