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Thesis

Since March 30 bottom call: SPY +20%, IQE +220%, CIFR +70%, SIVE +100%+, ONDS +50%. Buying panic works. Continues to hold long positions.

By @Allstarsv16 ยท View post โ†—
Original post text

March 30. $SPY at $631. I said the bottom was close. That was the exact bottom. Since then: $SPY +20% $IQE +220% $CIFR +70% $SIVE +100%+ $ONDS +50% Buying panic is the hardest trade. It is also the best one. https://t.co/DJBBMTyXsr https://t.co/AyHHJfc0MY

๐Ÿ‚ Bull Case
  • Strong fundamental momentum in IQE's core market segment drives revenue acceleration
  • Technical breakout above key moving averages confirms trend continuation
  • Institutional accumulation and sector tailwinds provide additional upside catalyst
๐Ÿป Bear Case
  • Valuation stretched if growth expectations moderate in near term
  • Market-wide risk-off could pressure high-beta names regardless of fundamentals
  • Competitive dynamics or margin compression could limit upside
๐Ÿšซ Invalidation

Close below key support with volume >2x average, breaking the structural uptrend

Break Conditions
Price Tracking
LabelTickerPriceRecorded
t+3dIQE.L$39.302026-06-10 18:38:32
Metadata
T0 Price: $45.25
Created: 2026-06-08 18:32:40
Scored: 2026-06-08T18:33:15.142480+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-10T18:38:32.252355+00:00