NVDA#286
Thesis
NVDA photonics CPO switch with Lambda; GB300 NVL72 scaling makes networking the bottleneck; CPO cuts power and improves tokens/watt
Original post text
First look at $NVDA photonics co-packaged optics switch with Lambda. As GB300 NVL72 scales, networking becomes the layer that determines how fast the cluster thinks while co-packaged optics cut power and improve tokens per watt. https://t.co/spY24UmGQW
🐂 Bull Case
- Strong revenue growth momentum (0.852) supporting upward earnings revision cycle
- Technical breakout potential: price at $202.2 vs SMA50 $N/A with RSI at N/A offering room
- Industry tailwinds and sector rotation catalyst driving institutional accumulation
🐻 Bear Case
- Valuation premium risk: PE at N/A with any earnings miss could trigger de-rating
- Macro headwinds (rates, geopolitical risk) creating near-term pressure on multiples
- Competitive intensity increasing in core market, potential margin compression
🚫 Invalidation
Revenue decline > 15% QoQ
Break Conditions
- Price closes below SMA200 ($N/A) on above-average volume
- Revenue growth decelerates below sector average for two consecutive quarters
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t+3d | NVDA | $202.43 | 2026-06-11 18:36:13 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $202.21
Created: 2026-06-10 18:34:53
Scored: 2026-06-10T18:36:59.415481+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-11T18:36:13.070595+00:00