IQE#48
Thesis
IQE catch-up trade vs SIVE/SOI peers; London exchange closed lag; InP photonic chip thesis; pre-earnings upside
By @Allstarsv16 · View post ↗
Original post text
Called it at 17p. $IQE +19% this morning. 54p. Market cap $736M. London was closed while $SIVE surged and $SOI kept climbing. The catch-up trade was always coming. And this is before earnings.
🐂 Bull Case
- Revenue growth (0.001) accelerates on AI/optical demand — PT +20-30%
- Price above SMA50 (42.9), Weinstein stage 2 — momentum intact
- Institutional inflows + sector rotation favors AI supply chain names
🐻 Bear Case
- RSI 49.8 — overbought risk, near-term pullback possible
- PE (-109.66667) elevated; any guide-down triggers de-risking
- Gross margin (0.0139) compression risk if competitive pressure rises
🚫 Invalidation
Close below SMA200 (17.4) on above-average volume
Break Conditions
- Price closes below SMA200 (17.4) on weekly timeframe
- Revenue growth turns negative for 2+ consecutive quarters
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t0 | IQE | $52.90 | 2026-05-26 12:28:34 |
| t+3d | IQE | $49.35 | 2026-06-04 18:35:41 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $52.90
Created: 2026-05-26 12:27:59
Scored: 2026-06-04T18:35:03.846010+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-04T18:35:41.790530+00:00