SIVE#49
Thesis
SIVE making InP photonic chips for CPO; CPO architecture being priced correctly; new 52-week high confirms trend
By @Allstarsv16 · View post ↗
Original post text
$SIVE +17% today. Market cap $2.37B. New 52-week high. CPO architecture finally being priced correctly. CPO moves transceivers inside GPU package, reduces power 70%, multiplies bandwidth.
🐂 Bull Case
- Revenue growth (-0.311) accelerates on AI/optical demand — PT +20-30%
- Price above SMA50 (40.0), Weinstein stage 2 — momentum intact
- Institutional inflows + sector rotation favors AI supply chain names
🐻 Bear Case
- RSI 62.4 — overbought risk, near-term pullback possible
- PE (-433.75) elevated; any guide-down triggers de-risking
- Gross margin (0.75712997) compression risk if competitive pressure rises
🚫 Invalidation
Close below SMA200 (12.9) on above-average volume
Break Conditions
- Price closes below SMA200 (12.9) on weekly timeframe
- Revenue growth turns negative for 2+ consecutive quarters
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t0 | SIVE | $79.55 | 2026-05-26 12:28:34 |
| t+3d | SIVE | $86.75 | 2026-06-04 18:35:42 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $79.55
Created: 2026-05-26 12:27:59
Scored: 2026-06-04T18:35:03.848246+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-04T18:35:42.252842+00:00