IQE#88
Thesis
Earnings approaching, bears have gone quiet suggesting positive setup for results.
By @Allstarsv16 · View post ↗
Original post text
$IQE earnings coming. The bears have been quiet lately. Wondering why.
🐂 Bull Case
- Bears going quiet before earnings suggests positive surprise incoming
- Independent epiwafer foundry positioned for photonics/CPO demand wave
- Stock at 48p with potential for earnings catalyst to re-rate higher
🐻 Bear Case
- Earnings could disappoint - quiet bears may simply be waiting for data
- UK small-cap with limited analyst coverage creates information asymmetry risk
- Photonics revenue may still be too early-stage to move the needle on total results
🚫 Invalidation
Close below 17p (SMA200) on earnings release
Break Conditions
- Earnings miss on revenue or guidance
- Photonics segment growth below expectations
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t+3d | IQE | $47.50 | 2026-05-29 18:36:59 |
| t+3d | IQE | $45.00 | 2026-06-05 18:36:03 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $47.50
Created: 2026-05-29 18:34:35
Scored: 2026-05-29T18:36:08.886206+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-05T18:36:03.046716+00:00