NBIS#114
Thesis
NBIS outperforming market and neocloud basket (IREN/CIFR), predicting $100B market cap, currently at $60B
Original post text
$NBIS has anime plot armor! Happy to hear Weebius has been outperforming the market and Neocloud basket ( $IREN / $CIFR ). Last year post MSFT earnings, I gave a prediction after Q4 earnings, Nebius would reach a $100B MC. We’re currently sitting at $60B MC, getting close! https://t.co/e96TirkJT8 https://t.co/53pyspTHj9
🐂 Bull Case
- Jensen Huang endorsement 'Nebius will take care of you' provides NVDA ecosystem halo
- Revenue growth 684% YoY — fastest growing neocloud, approaching $100B MC target
- Outperforming IREN/CIFR neocloud basket — emerging as sector leader
🐻 Bear Case
- PE 105x with $69B MC — valuation prices in near-perfect execution
- Neocloud sector is crowded — margin pressure as hyperscalers build in-house
- Price 70% above SMA50 ($162) — extreme overextension, high pullback risk
🚫 Invalidation
Close below SMA50 ($162) on above-average volume
Break Conditions
- NVDA cuts GPU allocation to neoclouds
- Revenue growth decelerates below 100%
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t+3d | NBIS | $218.68 | 2026-06-05 18:35:47 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $271.06
Created: 2026-06-01 18:32:41
Scored: 2026-06-01T18:34:36.043127+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-05T18:35:47.743534+00:00