NVDA#117
Thesis
At NVDA GTC/Computex expects next AI bottleneck announcement, referencing undervalued Japanese company with .6 P/B
Original post text
At $NVDA GTC/Computex in Taipei: I think we’ll hear about the next AI bottleneck. That’s owned by a .6 P/B potato farming company in Japan, with a 180 year history. Their owner cooks those potatoes in night markets for 160 yen a piece. But that same potato farming equipment
🐂 Bull Case
- Next AI bottleneck announcement at GTC/Computex could catalyze supply chain re-rating
- Revenue growth 85% YoY, PE 34x — reasonable valuation for dominant AI infrastructure play
- Vera Rubin N72 ramp drives multi-quarter upgrade cycle
🐻 Bear Case
- AI capex cycle could plateau in 2027 — growth stock priced for perfection
- Export restrictions to China limit TAM ceiling
- At $224, close to all-time highs — limited upside vs downside asymmetry
🚫 Invalidation
Close below SMA200 ($188) on above-average volume + data center revenue miss
Break Conditions
- Data center revenue growth slows below 50%
- Major customer (MSFT/META) cuts capex guidance
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t+3d | NVDA | $205.25 | 2026-06-05 18:35:44 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $224.38
Created: 2026-06-01 18:32:43
Scored: 2026-06-01T18:34:37.001254+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-05T18:35:44.702810+00:00