SIVE#13
Thesis
SIVE supplies lasers to now-$5-10B+ CPO leaders; expanding into ASIC ecosystem with O-Net mass production
Original post text
$SIVE is literally the kingmaker for CPO: From ~ Lightmatter, Celestial, Ayar, Lightelligence early on. Now the leaders with massive $5-10B+ valuations. To the ASIC ecosystems like Marvell, Alchip, GUC. With O-Net mass producing ELS with Sivers for CPO.
🐂 Bull Case
- Weinstein stage 2 (advancing) - structural uptrend intact
- Revenue growth 10.8% YoY - strong top-line expansion
- Price above SMA50 (26.8) - short-term momentum bullish
🐻 Bear Case
- Counter-trend risk - market conditions may shift against long thesis
🚫 Invalidation
Close below SMA200 ($9.4) on above-average volume
Break Conditions
- Close below SMA200 ($9.4) on above-average volume
- Key technical level at SMA50 ($26.8) breached with volume
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t0 | SIVE | $72.90 | 2026-05-24 09:51:13 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $72.90
Created: 2026-05-24 09:30:56
Scored: 2026-05-24T18:35:37.730222+00:00
Updated: 2026-05-26T18:37:56.991664+00:00