RDDT#145
Thesis
Q earnings beat: 69% Y/Y rev growth, 91.5% gross margin, FCF printing, network-effect moat vs AI vibe coding
Original post text
$RDDT was driving me insane. > massive earnings beat > just printing FCF since they’re too profitable > 69% Y/Y revenue growth. > biggest moat against AI vibe coding from network effect > 91.5% gross margin. Was just flat for months. Glad to see it getting more attention. https://t.co/umUxYdXkz7 https://t.co/tuVMZIwgAH
🐂 Bull Case
- Revenue growth (0.691) accelerates on AI/optical demand — PT +20-30%
- Price above SMA50 (153.6), Weinstein stage 1 — momentum intact
- Institutional inflows + sector rotation favors AI supply chain names
🐻 Bear Case
- RSI 65.8 — overbought risk, near-term pullback possible
- PE (52.308403) elevated; any guide-down triggers de-risking
- Gross margin (0.91373) compression risk if competitive pressure rises
🚫 Invalidation
Close below SMA200 (190.1) on above-average volume
Break Conditions
- Price closes below SMA200 (190.1) on weekly timeframe
- Revenue growth turns negative for 2+ consecutive quarters
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t+3d | RDDT | $179.43 | 2026-06-09 18:36:43 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $183.51
Created: 2026-06-04 18:33:20
Scored: 2026-06-04T18:35:03.838580+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-09T18:36:43.544355+00:00