IQE#153
Thesis
IQE £81M raise complete: 80% strategic (MTSI 152M + noteholders 115M), only 65M shares to market — dilution overhang removed
By @ParadisLabs · View post ↗
Original post text
Still bullish $IQE btw: £81M fundraising is now complete + all fundraising shares were admitted on 1 June. So 332M new shares, taking share count: 980M -> 1,312M. Around 80% of that is strategic/insider: $MTSI (152M shares) + noteholders (115M shares). That leaves just 65M https://t.co/j4NKmMtoQQ
🐂 Bull Case
- Revenue growth (0.001) accelerates on AI/optical demand — PT +20-30%
- Price above SMA50 (42.9), Weinstein stage 2 — momentum intact
- Institutional inflows + sector rotation favors AI supply chain names
🐻 Bear Case
- RSI 49.8 — overbought risk, near-term pullback possible
- PE (-109.66667) elevated; any guide-down triggers de-risking
- Gross margin (0.0139) compression risk if competitive pressure rises
🚫 Invalidation
Close below SMA200 (17.4) on above-average volume
Break Conditions
- Price closes below SMA200 (17.4) on weekly timeframe
- Revenue growth turns negative for 2+ consecutive quarters
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t+3d | IQE | $41.25 | 2026-06-09 18:36:41 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $49.35
Created: 2026-06-04 18:33:26
Scored: 2026-06-04T18:34:54.891416+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-09T18:36:41.173011+00:00