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@ParadisLabs

View on X ↗ · Onboarded 2026-05-26
38.2
Composite Score
61.1
Avg Thesis Quality
57
Total Theses
14
Hits
36
Misses
25%
Hit Rate
Top Tickers
SNDK×6NVDA×5MU×4NBIS×4LPK×3IQE×3NOW×3QCOM×3SIVE×3GOOGL×3
Thesis Breakdown
42
Stock
15
Theme
14
Hits
36
Misses
All Theses
#TickersTypeDirectionCallQualityStatusReasoning
322GOOGLstockLONGPASS46scoredAAPL passing GOOGL in market cap signals GOOGL is relatively undervalued; personal buy signal
255QCOMstockLONGWATCH60missQCOM up 6.84% AH after Jensen Huang says 'Buy their stock'. Edge AI thesis playing out.
252CRDOstockLONGWATCH66hitCRDO up 25% since earnings. High confidence in re-rating higher alongside CPO TAM expansion. Bringing SiPho in-house via DustPhotonics acquisition enables vertical integration.
253SIVEstockLONGWATCH50hitSIVE $8.2M order from All Space for BFICs. Huge order for 2027 vs Q1 2026 rev of $6.7M. Embeds SIVE in US defense ecosystem via YSS.
254GOOGLstockLONGWATCH54missBought GOOGL at $362. Portfolio update with multiple positions including MU, SNDK, RKLB, MRVL, NOW, INTC.
174NVDAstockLONGBUY74missNVDA CEO confirms everything across supply chain is in shortage — memory, wafers, advanced packaging, SiPho, cable connectors. Multi-year supply tightness supports NVDA pricing power.
175RPI.LstockLONGWATCH67missRaspberry Pi H1 EBITDA $38M (+96% YoY), well ahead of $43.7M FY forecast. Holding 2025 DRAM inventory purchased at low cost — direct beneficiary of memory inflation.
176GOOGLMUSNDKthemeLONGBUY72missPost-AI sector crash, explicit Strong Buy call on GOOGL/MU/SNDK as highest-conviction names. AI infrastructure/memory/semis oversold — contrarian bullish call.
167NVDATSMAMDthemeLONGBUY70missAI supply chain beneficiaries cemented in multi-year theses; hyperscaler capex growing massively
168BRUNstockSHORTWATCH62missBRUN owns almost nothing; assets borrowed, GPUs leased, DCs rented colocation; '125 MW capacity' mostly owned by others; fundamentally weak setup
164AAOIstockLONGWATCH65missStill early innings; demand exceeds capacity; 2027 inflection on 800G/1.6T ramp; capacity expansion underway now
163SNDKMUstockLONGWATCH61hitWSTS forecasts massive memory-driven semi market growth: $1.5T in 2026 (+90% YoY), $1.9T in 2027; SNDK best-positioned US memory play
162SNDKAAOINBISstockLONGBUY70hitMacro-driven dip in AI names viewed as opportunity; thesis on AI capex cycle intact; nonfarm payroll shock transient
155AXTIstockLONGWATCH52missAXTI vital InP substrate bottleneck: AI capex -> GPUs -> optical interconnect -> 800G/1.6T/3.2T transceivers -> EML/DFB/CW lasers -> InP substrates
154SNDKstockLONGBUY70missBullish on SNDK (memory cycle upswing)
152LPKstockLONGWATCH59missLPK AGM pending; glass substrates superior to ABF for CPO; LPK is the major equipment play, very early innings
153IQEstockLONGWATCH64missIQE £81M raise complete: 80% strategic (MTSI 152M + noteholders 115M), only 65M shares to market — dilution overhang removed
141MXLstockLONGWATCH60missMXL +70% since going long post-earnings. Holding through June for remaining catalysts. Expresses continued bullish conviction.
142AVGOTSMMRVLthemeLONGWATCH65missGOOGL raising $80B for AI infra; total 2026 AI capex ~$185B (2x 2025). Broad AI supply chain beneficiaries.
130PENGstockLONGWATCH65missFY26 outlook reaffirmed with revenue+EPS at high end of guidance, memory/AI infrastructure demand growing, DDR5 DRAM tailwind
131SIVE.STstockLONGWATCH66missGFS adds Sivers InP lasers to SiPh reference designs incl CPO platform, value chain alignment with AVGO/MRVL/NVDA widens funnel
132CRDOstockLONGBUY81missEarnings beat: Rev $437M +157% YoY, EPS $1.16 +231% YoY, raised guidance for rev+gross margins, buying post-sell-off dip at $192
120NBISstockLONGBUY71missNVDA loves NBIS, predicting Nebius reaches $100B market cap this year
121AEHRstockLONGWATCH56hitBullish from first principles: chips need stress-testing before deployment, AEHR provides burn-in testing for NVDA/AMD/INTC chips
122POWIWOLFNVTSAOSLthemeLONGWATCH55missComplete basket of analog/power semis for GaN/SiC power conversion thesis
123NBISstockLONGBUY71missNBIS 2X in 2 months to $58.7B, could become $100B company in 2026, Jensen endorsement
119RKLBstockLONGWATCH54missDown 12.28% on Blue Origin selloff, no negative Rocket Lab news, waiting for dip after stellar earnings, sees as buying opportunity
109SMCIstockLONGWATCH61missSMCI was too cheap heading into earnings. Baseline fundamentals intact despite negative headlines (China smuggling scandal, ORCL competition). Forecast clean beat and raise. Contrarian long.
108AOSLthemeLONGWATCH55hitPower semis theme: Legacy 54V is a bottleneck. NVDA 800 VDC is next-gen architecture. AOSL at $1.36B market cap covers full 800VDC conversion chain with announced 800VDC products.
95LPKstockLONGWATCH56missLPK -13% on European HF short positions, but nothing fundamentally wrong. Glass substrates are crucial CPO/advanced packaging bottleneck. LPK is monopolistic equipment supplier.
96NOWstockLONGPASS45missSaaS is alive. NOW +23% in a week. AI not replacing SaaS names - durable moats across PLTR, MSFT, NOW, SHOP, DDOG, CRM, SNOW, APP, MDB, ZETA. SaaS companies integrating AI become stronger.
97NVDAPLTRRTXthemeLONGWATCH63missMcKinsey humanoid supply chain mapping confirms actuators are key battleground for mass production. BofA: actuators = 51% of total BOM. Humanoid robotics supply chain investable.
98MUSNDKSIVELITEGLWAXTIINTCTSEMthemeLONGWATCH62hitAI capex expected $7.6T from 2026-2031 per Goldman Sachs. Capital flows upstream into memory (MU, SNDK), photonics (SIVE, LITE), substrates (GLW, AXTI), foundries (INTC, TSEM).
85SIVEstockLONGWATCH66hitQ1 pipeline +77% is key metric. Current losses from sales expansion for US listing prep. CPO TAM expanding to $91B. Ignore near-term financials.
86FORMONTOCAMTthemeLONGWATCH50missTesting is critical bottleneck in CPO mass production - manual and non-standardized approach creates severe throughput bottleneck. FORM (probe cards), ONTO (inspection/metrology), CAMT exposure.
73047270.KSstockSHORTexpiredSamsung's $1.5B Vietnam investment will compete directly with Hana Micron's captive Samsung memory packaging/test operations, long-term negative for Hana
72NBISstockLONGWATCH62missLeopold Aschenbrenner discloses 5.6% stake in NBIS, best neocloud, after-hours price reaction validates thesis
71IQEstockLONGPASS40missIQE earnings show photonics revenue +15% YoY driven by AI/data center demand, weak smartphone market dragging wireless segment, long-term structural thesis validated
58AEHRstockLONGWATCH50missAEHR with new 240 systems/year capacity; up 3x since original post; target $10B MC by Q1 2027 from current $3.46B; strong earnings-driven growth trajectory
59QCOMstockLONGWATCH62missContrarian trade paying off; Bloomberg confirmed QCOM chip deal with ByteDance; millions of chips for AI agent software; expansion from smartphones to AI infra is core thesis
60OUSTstockLONGWATCH56hitOUST competes across four lidar pools: automotive OEM (fastest growing), Western automotive/robotaxi (main auto opportunity), automation/robotics/mapping (largest revenue), and industrial; lidar adoption curve accelerating
32SNDKMUthemeLONGBUY72hitMemory sector valuation analysis showing SNDK and MU are undervalued on forward P/E basis relative to peers; implied bullishness on memory names
33themeLONGexpiredHumanoid robot supply chain analysis; actuators and precision components are the biggest BOM opportunity
34BEFCELstockLONGWATCH67hitSOFC companies positioned to solve data center power bottleneck; BE preferred in sector due to scale/positioning
35stockLONGexpiredEpisil-Precision (Taiwan) has monopoly on SiC/GaN epi wafer production in Taiwan; stock nearly 3x, strong thematic play on wide-bandgap semiconductors
36LPKstockLONGWATCH61missLPK (LPKF) has >80% market share in glass substrate equipment for CPO/advanced packaging; massive bottleneck play already up >100%
37IQEstockLONGWATCH64missIQE balance sheet de-risked by MTSI investment; allows debt repayment and capacity expansion towards photonics
38themeLONGexpiredHumanoid/physical AI is the next major investing theme; TAM of $40-200B by 2035, $5T by 2050 per MS
39MTSIstockLONGWATCH63missMTSI positioned for parabolic CPO growth with SiPh drivers and CW lasers; management confirming CPO optimization
40NVDAAVGOMRVLthemeLONGWATCH68hitCPO supply chain landscape; NVDA, AVGO, MRVL all positioned for CPO supercycle per BofA
41themeLONGexpiredCPO supercycle thesis; optical TAM expanding 5x to $73B by 2030, CPO contributing $15B per BofA/Goldman
42OUSTPENGFCELENSIstockLONGWATCH63missActively researching/positioned in OUST, PENG, FCEL, ENSI — semiconductors/fuel cells names
43themeLONGexpiredComprehensive theme list covering the AI/semiconductor infrastructure buildout: HBM, CPO, SiPh, wide-bandgap, fuel cells
44NOWstockLONGPASS42hitNOW's consumption-based AI pricing model protects margins from inference cost compression unlike other SaaS
45NOWstockLONGPASS42hitNOW sell-off overdone; massive enterprise ACV growth (22% YoY) with 600+ $5M+ customers proves platform stickiness
46QCOMstockLONGBUY71missQCOM diversifying into custom AI ASICs (ByteDance) and CPUs (META); massive revenue opportunity in custom silicon
47NVDAADIthemeLONGBUY71missRobotics supply chain play; Kawasaki Heavy partnering with NVDA/MSFT/ADI for physical AI, confirmed by Jensen's TAM expansion comments