SNDKAAOINBIS#162
Thesis
Macro-driven dip in AI names viewed as opportunity; thesis on AI capex cycle intact; nonfarm payroll shock transient
By @ParadisLabs · View post ↗
Original post text
I'm buying today's dips in all my AI names like $SNDK, $AAOI, $NBIS etc. Nothing's changed with AI related stocks. But for context on why today's a deep red day: Nonfarm payrolls increased by...
🐂 Bull Case
- SNDK revenue growth (2.51) accelerates on AI/photonics/memory demand, supports PT +20-30%
- Price above SMA50 (1179.5) with SMA200 (530.2) below; momentum intact, Weinstein stage 2
- Sector rotation favors semis/AI infra; institutional inflows expanding the multiple
🐻 Bear Case
- RSI at 56.3 signals overbought risk; sharp pullback possible on macro shocks
- Gross margin (0.56038) compression if competitive pressure or capex rises sharply
- PE (52.81719) elevated — guide-down on next earnings could trigger de-rating
🚫 Invalidation
Weekly close below SMA200 (530.2) on above-average volume
Break Conditions
- Weekly close below SMA200 (530.2)
- Revenue growth turns negative for 2+ consecutive quarters
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t+3d | SNDK | $1655.52 | 2026-06-10 18:38:37 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $1542.18
Created: 2026-06-05 18:33:23
Scored: 2026-06-05T18:34:32.538890+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-10T18:38:37.940433+00:00