LITEAAOISIVE#273
Thesis
Optical players recovering after unwarranted selloff; bullish on LITE, AAOI, SIVE rebounding
Original post text
Glad optical players from $LITE to $AAOI and $SIVE are slightly recovering as they should. The initial selloff was just stupid. https://t.co/DsOdQAWf9i
🐂 Bull Case
- Strong revenue growth momentum (0.901) supporting upward earnings revision cycle
- Technical breakout potential: price at $863.5 vs SMA50 $894.067001953125 with RSI at N/A offering room
- Industry tailwinds and sector rotation catalyst driving institutional accumulation
🐻 Bear Case
- Valuation premium risk: PE at N/A with any earnings miss could trigger de-rating
- Macro headwinds (rates, geopolitical risk) creating near-term pressure on multiples
- Competitive intensity increasing in core market, potential margin compression
🚫 Invalidation
Close below $489.5607253646851 (SMA200) on above-average volume
Break Conditions
- Price closes below SMA200 ($489.5607253646851) on above-average volume
- Revenue growth decelerates below sector average for two consecutive quarters
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t+3d | LITE | $874.05 | 2026-06-11 18:36:13 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $863.50
Created: 2026-06-10 18:34:51
Scored: 2026-06-10T18:36:20.283463+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-11T18:36:13.887599+00:00