NVDA#274
Thesis
NVDA denied 800V DC delay reports; Morgan Stanley and Computex checks contradict bearish SemiAnalysis claims; CPO thesis intact
Original post text
Morgan Stanley: $NVDA has denied the reports 800V DC has been pushed back. Recent SemiAnalysis reports run contrary to our own checks at Computex. Bro this has gotta be the dumbest CPO/800V selloff I’ve seen. Since the selloff from their claim $MU had 0 share of Nvidia HBM4 https://t.co/YX9apQSVLT https://t.co/SZp7TBNVMU
🐂 Bull Case
- Strong revenue growth momentum (0.852) supporting upward earnings revision cycle
- Technical breakout potential: price at $202.2 vs SMA50 $N/A with RSI at N/A offering room
- Industry tailwinds and sector rotation catalyst driving institutional accumulation
🐻 Bear Case
- Valuation premium risk: PE at N/A with any earnings miss could trigger de-rating
- Macro headwinds (rates, geopolitical risk) creating near-term pressure on multiples
- Competitive intensity increasing in core market, potential margin compression
🚫 Invalidation
Revenue decline > 15% QoQ
Break Conditions
- Price closes below SMA200 ($N/A) on above-average volume
- Revenue growth decelerates below sector average for two consecutive quarters
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t+3d | NVDA | $202.43 | 2026-06-11 18:36:13 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $202.21
Created: 2026-06-10 18:34:51
Scored: 2026-06-10T18:36:40.637404+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-11T18:36:13.953307+00:00