SIVEAEVA#30
Thesis
Supply chain thesis: SIVE is upstream laser supplier to Boston Dynamics via Sivers -> AEVA (FMCW/CW DFB lasers) -> LG Innotek -> Boston Dynamics
Original post text
Fun fact: Lot of the same companies are often used across different supply chains. One likely example is: $SIVE as the upstream laser supplier to Boston Dynamics via: Sivers -> $AEVA FMCW (CW DFB lasers) -> LG Innotek -> Boston Dynamics. I actually personally liked Aeva for https://t.co/LtUBKMFcd7 https://t.co/zW2KrMJBQY
🐂 Bull Case
- Revenue growth (0.108) accelerates on AI/photonics demand, PT +20-30%
- Price above SMA50 (28.4) with SMA200 (9.9) far below, momentum intact
- Institutional inflows expand as sector rotation favors photonics/semis
🐻 Bear Case
- RSI at 66.0 suggests overbought risk, pullback possible
- Gross margin (0.73530996) compression risk if competitive pressure rises
- PE (-427.75) elevated, de-risking on any guide-down
🚫 Invalidation
Close below SMA200 (9.9) on above-average volume
Break Conditions
- Price closes below SMA200 (9.9) on weekly timeframe
- Revenue growth turns negative for 2+ consecutive quarters
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t+3d | SIVE | $70.20 | 2026-05-28 18:42:58 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $85.55
Created: 2026-05-25 18:33:33
Scored: 2026-05-25T18:36:16.074050+00:00
Updated: 2026-05-28T18:42:58.935590+00:00