AXTINVDA#31
Thesis
AI capex scaling to $3-4T annually by 2030 (Jensen Huang). AXTI controls photonics materials buildout. Stay exposed to AI infrastructure keys
Original post text
AI capex spend is expected to go to "$3 to $4 trillion annually" by 2030 from $NVDA Jensen Huang projections. You're not bullish enough. And it might be a good idea to stay exposed + own the keys of the AI Kingdom: -> $AXTI controls the materials buildout with photonics. -> https://t.co/IBg13ThOjF
🐂 Bull Case
- Revenue growth (0.391) accelerates on AI/photonics demand, PT +20-30%
- Price above SMA50 (79.5) with SMA200 (30.0) far below, momentum intact
- Institutional inflows expand as sector rotation favors photonics/semis
🐻 Bear Case
- RSI at 65.2 suggests overbought risk, pullback possible
- Gross margin (0.21337) compression risk if competitive pressure rises
- PE (187.27394) elevated, de-risking on any guide-down
🚫 Invalidation
Close below SMA200 (30.0) on above-average volume
Break Conditions
- Price closes below SMA200 (30.0) on weekly timeframe
- Revenue growth turns negative for 2+ consecutive quarters
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t+3d | AXTI | $118.85 | 2026-05-28 18:42:59 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $140.83
Created: 2026-05-25 18:33:33
Scored: 2026-05-25T18:36:16.432811+00:00
Updated: 2026-05-28T18:42:59.691845+00:00