AAOI#318
Thesis
CPO-related stocks like AAOI have strong alpha; thesis is that fundamental CPO demand supersedes macro headwinds
Original post text
YTD portfolio up +3612.10%. Mentions Foci/Shunsin $SOI, $AAOI and other CPO related. If Alpha is strong enough, these stocks should continue to rise regardless of macro.
🐂 Bull Case
- Revenue growth of 51.4% accelerating; if maintained, supports premium valuation
- Weinstein Stage 2 (advancing); positive technical structure
- Price above SMA50 (163.5); momentum confirmation with upside continuation likely
🐻 Bear Case
- Trading 24.6% below 52-week high; weak relative strength
🚫 Invalidation
Price closes below SMA200 (73.2) on above-average volume
Break Conditions
- Price closes below SMA200 (73.2) on above-average volume
- Core thesis invalidated if CPO-related stocks like AAOI have strong alpha; thesis is th proves incorrect
Metadata
T0 Price: $168.25
Created: 2026-06-11 18:34:41
Scored: 2026-06-11T18:35:35.134203+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-11T18:35:35.134218+00:00
Theme: Co-Packaged Optics