AAOI#92
Thesis
AAOI at $12B MC best risk/reward: H1 2027 revenue projections from capacity ramp, doing everything in-house, long-term supply agreements with NVDA/AMD.
Original post text
- $AAOI at $12B - $SIVE at $2B - Foci at $2.8B - Shunsin at $2B Usually the best risk/reward to me currently. Lot of my answers before like $AXTI already 10x’d, so different lineup this time. $AAOI due to absurd H1 2027 revenue projections from capacity ramp, doing everything https://t.co/Vtzc0Ao9gZ
🐂 Bull Case
- Revenue growth of 51.4% supports fundamental upside trajectory
🐻 Bear Case
🚫 Invalidation
Earnings miss >15% with guide-down on forward revenue
Break Conditions
- Earnings miss >10% on revenue signals thesis deterioration
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t+3d | AAOI | $188.12 | 2026-06-03 18:34:26 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $158.41
Created: 2026-05-30 18:32:43
Scored: 2026-05-30T18:33:23.122571+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-03T18:34:26.384460+00:00