AAOI#94
Thesis
Even more bullish on AAOI at $13B MC due to laser bottlenecks. Markets missed analyst note on long-term supply agreements with NVDA/AMD. H1 2027 projection of $471M revenue.
Original post text
I’m actually even more bullish on $AAOI at $13B MC given all the recent laser bottlenecks… Than I was back at $2B or $6B. I also think markets missed the analyst note around long term supply agreements with $NVDA or $AMD. If they’re projecting $471M in H1 2027… that’s https://t.co/GhRgjQx9Ou https://t.co/B0g7p4wxNB
🐂 Bull Case
- Revenue growth of 51.4% supports fundamental upside trajectory
🐻 Bear Case
🚫 Invalidation
Earnings miss >15% with guide-down on forward revenue
Break Conditions
- Earnings miss >10% on revenue signals thesis deterioration
Price Tracking
| Label | Ticker | Price | Recorded |
|---|---|---|---|
| t+3d | AAOI | $188.12 | 2026-06-03 18:34:27 |
Metadata
T0 Price: $158.41
Created: 2026-05-30 18:32:43
Scored: 2026-05-30T18:33:23.684535+00:00
Updated: 2026-06-03T18:34:27.066646+00:00